Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Prediction
- Prediction
- Uruguay
- Confidence
- High
- xG (SAU)
- 0.54
- xG (URU)
- 1.96
Why this prediction?
Uruguay win probability: 70%
- URU
Scoring projection
Saudi Arabia projected 0.5 goals, Uruguay 2.0 goals.
- URU
Elo rating advantage
Uruguay are rated 245 Elo higher (1596 vs 1841).
- URU
Defensive solidity
Uruguay project the meaner defence (concede ~0.5/game).
- EVEN
Neutral venue
No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.
Ratings: Saudi Arabia 1596 · Uruguay 1841 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).
Most likely results
- 0–2 16%
- 0–1 15%
- 0–3 10%
- 1–1 10%
- 0–0 9%
Your questions about Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay
Who is predicted to win Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?
Our model favours Uruguay. The win probabilities are 8% for Saudi Arabia, 22% for a draw and 70% for Uruguay.
What is the predicted score for Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?
The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 0–2, based on the expected goals for both sides.
Are these match predictions guaranteed?
No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.
More World Cup 2026 predictions
This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.