Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Prediction
- Prediction
- Ecuador
- Confidence
- High
- xG (IVO)
- 0.81
- xG (ECU)
- 1.69
Why this prediction?
Ecuador win probability: 57%
- ECU
Scoring projection
Ivory Coast projected 0.8 goals, Ecuador 1.7 goals.
- ECU
Elo rating advantage
Ecuador are rated 143 Elo higher (1728 vs 1871).
- ECU
Defensive solidity
Ecuador project the meaner defence (concede ~0.8/game).
- EVEN
Neutral venue
No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.
Ratings: Ivory Coast 1728 · Ecuador 1871 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).
Most likely results
- 1–1 13%
- 0–1 12%
- 0–2 12%
- 0–0 10%
- 1–2 9%
Your questions about Ivory Coast vs Ecuador
Who is predicted to win Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?
Our model favours Ecuador. The win probabilities are 16% for Ivory Coast, 27% for a draw and 57% for Ecuador.
What is the predicted score for Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?
The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 1–1, based on the expected goals for both sides.
Are these match predictions guaranteed?
No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.
More World Cup 2026 predictions
This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.