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World Cup 2026 · Matchday 1

Belgium vs Egypt Prediction

Belgium Home
20
Predicted score
Egypt Away
Belgium win Draw Egypt win
65% 24% 11%
Prediction
Belgium
Confidence
High
xG (BEL)
1.86
xG (EGY)
0.64
Model confidence: High 65%

Why this prediction?

Belgium win probability: 65%

  • BEL

    Scoring projection

    Belgium projected 1.9 goals, Egypt 0.6 goals.

  • BEL

    Elo rating advantage

    Belgium are rated 205 Elo higher (1947 vs 1742).

  • BEL

    Defensive solidity

    Belgium project the meaner defence (concede ~0.6/game).

  • EVEN

    Neutral venue

    No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.

Ratings: Belgium 1947 · Egypt 1742 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).

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Scorelines

Most likely results

  • 2–0 14%
  • 1–0 14%
  • 1–1 11%
  • 0–0 9%
  • 2–1 9%
FAQ

Your questions about Belgium vs Egypt

Who is predicted to win Belgium vs Egypt?

Our model favours Belgium. The win probabilities are 65% for Belgium, 24% for a draw and 11% for Egypt.

What is the predicted score for Belgium vs Egypt?

The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 2–0, based on the expected goals for both sides.

Are these match predictions guaranteed?

No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.

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This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.