Call the outcome of every big fixture, see how your picks stack up against our model, and climb the leaderboard. A new challenge drops every week — free, no account needed.
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Our model's strongest calls from the upcoming fixtures. Tap Home, Draw or Away to predict — your accuracy starts tracking instantly, no sign-up.
Top predicted matches appear here from the fixture provider. You can still build any match-up yourself with the predictor.
Our model turns real team ratings into win probabilities using a Poisson goal model. Every prediction shows its reasoning and its data source.
Every team carries a real Elo rating — Club Elo for clubs and World Football Elo for national sides. These are independent, widely-cited systems. We never invent strength scores.
Playing at home is worth roughly 65 Elo for clubs (55 for nations) and is removed entirely at neutral venues — the same adjustment professional models use.
Where recent results are available, they nudge a team's effective rating up or down (capped), so a side in hot or poor form is reflected — without overreacting to a single match.
We translate the rating gap into a Very High / High / Medium / Low confidence tier. Evenly-matched fixtures are honestly flagged Low — we don't fake certainty.
Ratings sourced from Club Elo and World Football Elo. Predictions are statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice.
Make your picks, then come back to see how many you got right. Your accuracy builds over time.
No fixtures available for this week's challenge yet.
Nothing yet. Your predictions will show up here as you make them.
Earn points for every correct call. Build a streak, beat the model, and see where you rank against other predictors.
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Hubs for the world's biggest leagues and tournaments, each linking through to its teams.
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View competitionEvergreen team profiles with strength ratings, competition participation and analysis — for the biggest clubs and nations.
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Everything you need to know about how Football Predictor works.
Each prediction is produced by a statistical goal model. We estimate how many goals each team is likely to score from their attacking and defensive strength, home advantage and overall rating, then use a Poisson distribution to calculate win, draw and loss probabilities along with the most likely scorelines.
Football Predictor is built to cover the world's biggest competitions, including the FIFA World Cup, UEFA Champions League, Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga and international fixtures.
No. Football Predictor is an analytics and entertainment platform. Our predictions are statistical estimates, not betting advice, and no outcome is ever guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly and only where it is legal to do so.
Yes. You can generate match predictions, browse upcoming fixtures and read our analysis articles completely free of charge.
Football is unpredictable by nature, so no model is ever perfect. Our model is calibrated to reflect realistic probabilities rather than certainties — a high win probability means a team is favoured, not that the result is guaranteed.
Yes. Use the Match Predictor tool to select any home and away team from our catalogue and instantly generate win probabilities, a predicted score and a confidence rating.
Guides and explainers on prediction strategy, expected goals and the maths behind the model.
A practical, no-nonsense guide to the prediction strategies that actually hold up — from expected goals and home advantage to bankroll discipline and avoiding common biases.
A clear, jargon-light explanation of how a football prediction model turns team strength into win probabilities and predicted scores using the Poisson distribution.
What expected goals (xG) really measures, how it is calculated, what it is good for, and the common mistakes people make when reading it.
