Iran vs New Zealand Prediction
- Prediction
- New Zealand
- Confidence
- Very High
- xG (IRA)
- 0.29
- xG (NEW)
- 2.21
Why this prediction?
New Zealand win probability: 81%
- NEW
Elo rating advantage
New Zealand are rated 375 Elo higher (1159 vs 1534).
- NEW
Scoring projection
Iran projected 0.3 goals, New Zealand 2.2 goals.
- NEW
Defensive solidity
New Zealand project the meaner defence (concede ~0.3/game).
- EVEN
Neutral venue
No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.
Ratings: Iran 1159 · New Zealand 1534 · Source: Club Elo (clubelo.com) / World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-07-15).
Most likely results
- 0–2 20%
- 0–1 17%
- 0–3 15%
- 0–0 9%
- 0–4 8%
Your questions about Iran vs New Zealand
Who is predicted to win Iran vs New Zealand?
Our model favours New Zealand. The win probabilities are 3% for Iran, 16% for a draw and 81% for New Zealand.
What is the predicted score for Iran vs New Zealand?
The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 0–2, based on the expected goals for both sides.
Are these match predictions guaranteed?
No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.
More World Cup 2026 predictions
This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.