Sweden vs Tunisia Prediction
- Prediction
- Sweden
- Confidence
- High
- xG (SWE)
- 1.77
- xG (TUN)
- 0.73
Why this prediction?
Sweden win probability: 61%
- SWE
Scoring projection
Sweden projected 1.8 goals, Tunisia 0.7 goals.
- SWE
Elo rating advantage
Sweden are rated 169 Elo higher (1731 vs 1562).
- SWE
Defensive solidity
Sweden project the meaner defence (concede ~0.7/game).
- EVEN
Neutral venue
No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.
Ratings: Sweden 1731 · Tunisia 1562 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).
Most likely results
- 1–0 13%
- 2–0 13%
- 1–1 12%
- 0–0 10%
- 2–1 9%
Your questions about Sweden vs Tunisia
Who is predicted to win Sweden vs Tunisia?
Our model favours Sweden. The win probabilities are 61% for Sweden, 25% for a draw and 14% for Tunisia.
What is the predicted score for Sweden vs Tunisia?
The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 1–0, based on the expected goals for both sides.
Are these match predictions guaranteed?
No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.
More World Cup 2026 predictions
This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.