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World Cup 2026 · Matchday 1

France vs Senegal Prediction

France Home
20
Predicted score
Senegal Away
France win Draw Senegal win
71% 21% 8%
Prediction
France
Confidence
Very High
xG (FRA)
1.98
xG (SEN)
0.52
Model confidence: Very High 71%

Why this prediction?

France win probability: 71%

  • FRA

    Scoring projection

    France projected 2.0 goals, Senegal 0.5 goals.

  • FRA

    Elo rating advantage

    France are rated 254 Elo higher (2070 vs 1816).

  • FRA

    Defensive solidity

    France project the meaner defence (concede ~0.5/game).

  • EVEN

    Neutral venue

    No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.

Ratings: France 2070 · Senegal 1816 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).

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Scorelines

Most likely results

  • 2–0 16%
  • 1–0 15%
  • 3–0 11%
  • 1–1 10%
  • 0–0 9%
FAQ

Your questions about France vs Senegal

Who is predicted to win France vs Senegal?

Our model favours France. The win probabilities are 71% for France, 21% for a draw and 8% for Senegal.

What is the predicted score for France vs Senegal?

The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 2–0, based on the expected goals for both sides.

Are these match predictions guaranteed?

No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.

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This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.