Netherlands vs Japan Prediction
- Prediction
- Netherlands
- Confidence
- Medium
- xG (NED)
- 1.51
- xG (JAP)
- 0.99
Why this prediction?
Netherlands win probability: 48%
- NED
Scoring projection
Netherlands projected 1.5 goals, Japan 1.0 goals.
- NED
Defensive solidity
Netherlands project the meaner defence (concede ~1.0/game).
- NED
Elo rating advantage
Netherlands are rated 83 Elo higher (1971 vs 1888).
- EVEN
Neutral venue
No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.
Ratings: Netherlands 1971 · Japan 1888 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).
Most likely results
- 1–1 14%
- 1–0 11%
- 0–0 10%
- 2–0 9%
- 2–1 9%
Your questions about Netherlands vs Japan
Who is predicted to win Netherlands vs Japan?
Our model favours Netherlands. The win probabilities are 48% for Netherlands, 29% for a draw and 23% for Japan.
What is the predicted score for Netherlands vs Japan?
The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 1–1, based on the expected goals for both sides.
Are these match predictions guaranteed?
No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.
More World Cup 2026 predictions
This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.