Norway vs France Prediction
- Prediction
- France
- Confidence
- Medium
- xG (NOR)
- 0.88
- xG (FRA)
- 1.62
Why this prediction?
France win probability: 53%
- FRA
Scoring projection
Norway projected 0.9 goals, France 1.6 goals.
- FRA
Defensive solidity
France project the meaner defence (concede ~0.9/game).
- FRA
Elo rating advantage
France are rated 119 Elo higher (1951 vs 2070).
- EVEN
Neutral venue
No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.
Ratings: Norway 1951 · France 2070 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).
Most likely results
- 1–1 13%
- 0–1 12%
- 0–2 11%
- 0–0 10%
- 1–2 9%
Your questions about Norway vs France
Who is predicted to win Norway vs France?
Our model favours France. The win probabilities are 19% for Norway, 28% for a draw and 53% for France.
What is the predicted score for Norway vs France?
The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 1–1, based on the expected goals for both sides.
Are these match predictions guaranteed?
No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.
More World Cup 2026 predictions
This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.