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World Cup 2026 · Matchday 3

Turkey vs United States Prediction

Turkey Home
11
Predicted score
United States Away
Turkey win Draw United States win
41% 30% 29%
Prediction
Turkey
Confidence
Low
xG (TUR)
1.38
xG (UNI)
1.12
Model confidence: Low 41%

Why this prediction?

Turkey win probability: 41%

  • TUR

    Scoring projection

    Turkey projected 1.4 goals, United States 1.1 goals.

  • TUR

    Elo rating advantage

    Turkey are rated 105 Elo higher (1852 vs 1747).

  • EVEN

    Neutral venue

    No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.

Ratings: Turkey 1852 · United States 1747 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).

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Scorelines

Most likely results

  • 1–1 14%
  • 0–0 10%
  • 1–0 10%
  • 2–1 9%
  • 2–0 8%
FAQ

Your questions about Turkey vs United States

Who is predicted to win Turkey vs United States?

Our model favours Turkey. The win probabilities are 41% for Turkey, 30% for a draw and 29% for United States.

What is the predicted score for Turkey vs United States?

The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 1–1, based on the expected goals for both sides.

Are these match predictions guaranteed?

No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.

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This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.