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World Cup 2026 · Matchday 3

New Zealand vs Belgium Prediction

New Zealand Home
02
Predicted score
Belgium Away
New Zealand win Draw Belgium win
2% 14% 84%
Prediction
Belgium
Confidence
Very High
xG (NEW)
0.23
xG (BEL)
2.27
Model confidence: Very High 84%

Why this prediction?

Belgium win probability: 84%

  • BEL

    Elo rating advantage

    Belgium are rated 413 Elo higher (1534 vs 1947).

  • BEL

    Scoring projection

    New Zealand projected 0.2 goals, Belgium 2.3 goals.

  • BEL

    Defensive solidity

    Belgium project the meaner defence (concede ~0.2/game).

  • EVEN

    Neutral venue

    No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.

Ratings: New Zealand 1534 · Belgium 1947 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).

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Scorelines

Most likely results

  • 0–2 21%
  • 0–1 18%
  • 0–3 16%
  • 0–4 9%
  • 0–0 9%
FAQ

Your questions about New Zealand vs Belgium

Who is predicted to win New Zealand vs Belgium?

Our model favours Belgium. The win probabilities are 2% for New Zealand, 14% for a draw and 84% for Belgium.

What is the predicted score for New Zealand vs Belgium?

The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 0–2, based on the expected goals for both sides.

Are these match predictions guaranteed?

No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.

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This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.