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World Cup 2026 · Matchday 3

Egypt vs Iran Prediction

Egypt Home
20
Predicted score
Iran Away
Egypt win Draw Iran win
86% 12% 2%
Prediction
Egypt
Confidence
Very High
xG (EGY)
2.44
xG (IRA)
0.22
Model confidence: Very High 86%

Why this prediction?

Egypt win probability: 86%

  • EGY

    Elo rating advantage

    Egypt are rated 583 Elo higher (1742 vs 1159).

  • EGY

    Scoring projection

    Egypt projected 2.4 goals, Iran 0.2 goals.

  • EGY

    Defensive solidity

    Egypt project the meaner defence (concede ~0.2/game).

  • EVEN

    Neutral venue

    No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.

Ratings: Egypt 1742 · Iran 1159 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) / Club Elo (clubelo.com) (as of 2026-08-02).

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Scorelines

Most likely results

  • 2–0 21%
  • 3–0 17%
  • 1–0 17%
  • 4–0 10%
  • 0–0 7%
FAQ

Your questions about Egypt vs Iran

Who is predicted to win Egypt vs Iran?

Our model favours Egypt. The win probabilities are 86% for Egypt, 12% for a draw and 2% for Iran.

What is the predicted score for Egypt vs Iran?

The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 2–0, based on the expected goals for both sides.

Are these match predictions guaranteed?

No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.

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This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.