Uruguay vs Spain Prediction
- Prediction
- Spain
- Confidence
- Very High
- xG (URU)
- 0.22
- xG (ESP)
- 2.28
Why this prediction?
Spain win probability: 84%
- ESP
Elo rating advantage
Spain are rated 418 Elo higher (1841 vs 2259).
- ESP
Scoring projection
Uruguay projected 0.2 goals, Spain 2.3 goals.
- ESP
Defensive solidity
Spain project the meaner defence (concede ~0.2/game).
- EVEN
Neutral venue
No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.
Ratings: Uruguay 1841 · Spain 2259 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).
Most likely results
- 0–2 21%
- 0–1 18%
- 0–3 16%
- 0–4 9%
- 0–0 9%
Your questions about Uruguay vs Spain
Who is predicted to win Uruguay vs Spain?
Our model favours Spain. The win probabilities are 2% for Uruguay, 14% for a draw and 84% for Spain.
What is the predicted score for Uruguay vs Spain?
The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 0–2, based on the expected goals for both sides.
Are these match predictions guaranteed?
No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.
More World Cup 2026 predictions
This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.