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World Cup 2026 · Matchday 1

Australia vs Turkey Prediction

Australia Home
11
Predicted score
Turkey Away
Australia win Draw Turkey win
26% 30% 44%
Prediction
Turkey
Confidence
Low
xG (AUS)
1.07
xG (TUR)
1.43
Model confidence: Low 44%

Why this prediction?

Turkey win probability: 44%

  • TUR

    Scoring projection

    Australia projected 1.1 goals, Turkey 1.4 goals.

  • EVEN

    Neutral venue

    No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.

  • TUR

    Defensive solidity

    Turkey project the meaner defence (concede ~1.1/game).

  • TUR

    Elo rating advantage

    Turkey are rated 57 Elo higher (1795 vs 1852).

Ratings: Australia 1795 · Turkey 1852 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).

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Scorelines

Most likely results

  • 1–1 14%
  • 0–1 10%
  • 0–0 10%
  • 1–2 9%
  • 0–2 8%
FAQ

Your questions about Australia vs Turkey

Who is predicted to win Australia vs Turkey?

Our model favours Turkey. The win probabilities are 26% for Australia, 30% for a draw and 44% for Turkey.

What is the predicted score for Australia vs Turkey?

The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 1–1, based on the expected goals for both sides.

Are these match predictions guaranteed?

No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.

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This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.