Belgium vs Senegal Prediction
- Prediction
- Belgium
- Confidence
- High
- xG (BEL)
- 1.61
- xG (SEN)
- 0.79
Why this prediction?
Belgium win probability: 55%
- BEL
Scoring projection
Belgium projected 1.6 goals, Senegal 0.8 goals.
- BEL
Elo rating advantage
Belgium are rated 131 Elo higher (1947 vs 1816).
- BEL
Defensive solidity
Belgium project the meaner defence (concede ~0.8/game).
- EVEN
Round of 32-stage adjustment
Round of 32 matches are tighter, so expected goals are reduced to ~2.4 combined.
- EVEN
Neutral venue
No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.
Ratings: Belgium 1947 · Senegal 1816 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).
Most likely results
- 1–0 13%
- 1–1 13%
- 2–0 12%
- 0–0 11%
- 2–1 9%
Your questions about Belgium vs Senegal
Who is predicted to win Belgium vs Senegal?
Our model favours Belgium. The win probabilities are 55% for Belgium, 28% for a draw and 17% for Senegal.
What is the predicted score for Belgium vs Senegal?
The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 1–0, based on the expected goals for both sides.
Are these match predictions guaranteed?
No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.
More World Cup 2026 predictions
This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.