Spain vs Austria Prediction
- Prediction
- Spain
- Confidence
- Very High
- xG (ESP)
- 2.51
- xG (AUS)
- 0.22
Why this prediction?
Spain win probability: 87%
- ESP
Elo rating advantage
Spain are rated 860 Elo higher (2259 vs 1399).
- ESP
Scoring projection
Spain projected 2.5 goals, Austria 0.2 goals.
- ESP
Defensive solidity
Spain project the meaner defence (concede ~0.2/game).
- EVEN
Round of 32-stage adjustment
Round of 32 matches are tighter, so expected goals are reduced to ~2.4 combined.
- EVEN
Neutral venue
No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.
Ratings: Spain 2259 · Austria 1399 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) / Club Elo (clubelo.com) (as of 2026-08-02).
Most likely results
- 2–0 21%
- 3–0 17%
- 1–0 16%
- 4–0 11%
- 0–0 7%
Your questions about Spain vs Austria
Who is predicted to win Spain vs Austria?
Our model favours Spain. The win probabilities are 87% for Spain, 12% for a draw and 1% for Austria.
What is the predicted score for Spain vs Austria?
The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 2–0, based on the expected goals for both sides.
Are these match predictions guaranteed?
No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.
More World Cup 2026 predictions
This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.