France vs Sweden Prediction
- Prediction
- France
- Confidence
- Very High
- xG (FRA)
- 2.10
- xG (SWE)
- 0.30
Why this prediction?
France win probability: 79%
- FRA
Elo rating advantage
France are rated 339 Elo higher (2070 vs 1731).
- FRA
Scoring projection
France projected 2.1 goals, Sweden 0.3 goals.
- FRA
Defensive solidity
France project the meaner defence (concede ~0.3/game).
- EVEN
Round of 32-stage adjustment
Round of 32 matches are tighter, so expected goals are reduced to ~2.4 combined.
- EVEN
Neutral venue
No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.
Ratings: France 2070 · Sweden 1731 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).
Most likely results
- 2–0 20%
- 1–0 18%
- 3–0 14%
- 0–0 10%
- 4–0 7%
Your questions about France vs Sweden
Who is predicted to win France vs Sweden?
Our model favours France. The win probabilities are 79% for France, 17% for a draw and 4% for Sweden.
What is the predicted score for France vs Sweden?
The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 2–0, based on the expected goals for both sides.
Are these match predictions guaranteed?
No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.
More World Cup 2026 predictions
This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.