Ivory Coast vs Norway Prediction
- Prediction
- Norway
- Confidence
- High
- xG (IVO)
- 0.54
- xG (NOR)
- 1.86
Why this prediction?
Norway win probability: 68%
- NOR
Scoring projection
Ivory Coast projected 0.5 goals, Norway 1.9 goals.
- NOR
Elo rating advantage
Norway are rated 223 Elo higher (1728 vs 1951).
- NOR
Defensive solidity
Norway project the meaner defence (concede ~0.5/game).
- EVEN
Round of 32-stage adjustment
Round of 32 matches are tighter, so expected goals are reduced to ~2.4 combined.
- EVEN
Neutral venue
No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.
Ratings: Ivory Coast 1728 · Norway 1951 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).
Most likely results
- 0–1 16%
- 0–2 16%
- 1–1 10%
- 0–0 10%
- 0–3 10%
Your questions about Ivory Coast vs Norway
Who is predicted to win Ivory Coast vs Norway?
Our model favours Norway. The win probabilities are 9% for Ivory Coast, 23% for a draw and 68% for Norway.
What is the predicted score for Ivory Coast vs Norway?
The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 0–1, based on the expected goals for both sides.
Are these match predictions guaranteed?
No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.
More World Cup 2026 predictions
This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.