Norway vs England Prediction
- Prediction
- England
- Confidence
- High
- xG (NOR)
- 0.57
- xG (ENG)
- 1.63
Why this prediction?
England win probability: 62%
- ENG
Scoring projection
Norway projected 0.6 goals, England 1.6 goals.
- ENG
Elo rating advantage
England are rated 174 Elo higher (1951 vs 2125).
- ENG
Defensive solidity
England project the meaner defence (concede ~0.6/game).
- EVEN
Quarter-final-stage adjustment
Quarter-final matches are tighter, so expected goals are reduced to ~2.2 combined.
- EVEN
Neutral venue
No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.
Ratings: Norway 1951 · England 2125 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).
Most likely results
- 0–1 17%
- 0–2 15%
- 0–0 12%
- 1–1 12%
- 1–2 8%
Your questions about Norway vs England
Who is predicted to win Norway vs England?
Our model favours England. The win probabilities are 11% for Norway, 27% for a draw and 62% for England.
What is the predicted score for Norway vs England?
The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 0–1, based on the expected goals for both sides.
Are these match predictions guaranteed?
No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.
More World Cup 2026 predictions
This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.