France vs Morocco Prediction
- Prediction
- France
- Confidence
- High
- xG (FRA)
- 1.62
- xG (MOR)
- 0.58
Why this prediction?
France win probability: 61%
- FRA
Scoring projection
France projected 1.6 goals, Morocco 0.6 goals.
- FRA
Elo rating advantage
France are rated 169 Elo higher (2070 vs 1901).
- FRA
Defensive solidity
France project the meaner defence (concede ~0.6/game).
- EVEN
Quarter-final-stage adjustment
Quarter-final matches are tighter, so expected goals are reduced to ~2.2 combined.
- EVEN
Neutral venue
No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.
Ratings: France 2070 · Morocco 1901 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).
Most likely results
- 1–0 17%
- 2–0 14%
- 0–0 12%
- 1–1 12%
- 2–1 8%
Your questions about France vs Morocco
Who is predicted to win France vs Morocco?
Our model favours France. The win probabilities are 61% for France, 27% for a draw and 12% for Morocco.
What is the predicted score for France vs Morocco?
The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 1–0, based on the expected goals for both sides.
Are these match predictions guaranteed?
No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.
More World Cup 2026 predictions
This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.