Switzerland vs Colombia Prediction
- Prediction
- Colombia
- Confidence
- Medium
- xG (SWI)
- 0.91
- xG (COL)
- 1.39
Why this prediction?
Colombia win probability: 46%
- COL
Scoring projection
Switzerland projected 0.9 goals, Colombia 1.4 goals.
- EVEN
Round of 16-stage adjustment
Round of 16 matches are tighter, so expected goals are reduced to ~2.3 combined.
- EVEN
Neutral venue
No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.
- COL
Defensive solidity
Colombia project the meaner defence (concede ~0.9/game).
- COL
Elo rating advantage
Colombia are rated 75 Elo higher (1928 vs 2003).
Ratings: Switzerland 1928 · Colombia 2003 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).
Most likely results
- 1–1 14%
- 0–1 12%
- 0–0 12%
- 0–2 10%
- 1–2 9%
Your questions about Switzerland vs Colombia
Who is predicted to win Switzerland vs Colombia?
Our model favours Colombia. The win probabilities are 23% for Switzerland, 31% for a draw and 46% for Colombia.
What is the predicted score for Switzerland vs Colombia?
The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 1–1, based on the expected goals for both sides.
Are these match predictions guaranteed?
No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.
More World Cup 2026 predictions
This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.