Japan vs Sweden Prediction
- Prediction
- Japan
- Confidence
- High
- xG (JAP)
- 1.73
- xG (SWE)
- 0.77
Why this prediction?
Japan win probability: 59%
- JAP
Scoring projection
Japan projected 1.7 goals, Sweden 0.8 goals.
- JAP
Elo rating advantage
Japan are rated 157 Elo higher (1888 vs 1731).
- JAP
Defensive solidity
Japan project the meaner defence (concede ~0.8/game).
- EVEN
Neutral venue
No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.
Ratings: Japan 1888 · Sweden 1731 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).
Most likely results
- 1–0 13%
- 1–1 12%
- 2–0 12%
- 0–0 10%
- 2–1 9%
Your questions about Japan vs Sweden
Who is predicted to win Japan vs Sweden?
Our model favours Japan. The win probabilities are 59% for Japan, 26% for a draw and 15% for Sweden.
What is the predicted score for Japan vs Sweden?
The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 1–0, based on the expected goals for both sides.
Are these match predictions guaranteed?
No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.
More World Cup 2026 predictions
This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.