Tunisia vs Netherlands Prediction
- Prediction
- Netherlands
- Confidence
- Very High
- xG (TUN)
- 0.24
- xG (NED)
- 2.26
Why this prediction?
Netherlands win probability: 83%
- NED
Elo rating advantage
Netherlands are rated 409 Elo higher (1562 vs 1971).
- NED
Scoring projection
Tunisia projected 0.2 goals, Netherlands 2.3 goals.
- NED
Defensive solidity
Netherlands project the meaner defence (concede ~0.2/game).
- EVEN
Neutral venue
No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.
Ratings: Tunisia 1562 · Netherlands 1971 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).
Most likely results
- 0–2 21%
- 0–1 18%
- 0–3 16%
- 0–4 9%
- 0–0 9%
Your questions about Tunisia vs Netherlands
Who is predicted to win Tunisia vs Netherlands?
Our model favours Netherlands. The win probabilities are 2% for Tunisia, 15% for a draw and 83% for Netherlands.
What is the predicted score for Tunisia vs Netherlands?
The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 0–2, based on the expected goals for both sides.
Are these match predictions guaranteed?
No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.
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This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.