United States vs Australia Prediction
- Prediction
- United States
- Confidence
- Low
- xG (UNI)
- 1.30
- xG (AUS)
- 1.20
Why this prediction?
United States win probability: 38%
- UNI
Home advantage
Playing at home adds roughly 65 Elo to United States.
- EVEN
Scoring projection
United States projected 1.3 goals, Australia 1.2 goals.
- AUS
Elo rating advantage
Australia are rated 48 Elo higher (1747 vs 1795).
Ratings: United States 1747 · Australia 1795 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).
Most likely results
- 1–1 14%
- 0–0 10%
- 1–0 9%
- 2–1 8%
- 0–1 8%
Your questions about United States vs Australia
Who is predicted to win United States vs Australia?
Our model favours United States. The win probabilities are 38% for United States, 30% for a draw and 32% for Australia.
What is the predicted score for United States vs Australia?
The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 1–1, based on the expected goals for both sides.
Are these match predictions guaranteed?
No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.
More World Cup 2026 predictions
This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.