Mexico vs South Korea Prediction
- Prediction
- Mexico
- Confidence
- Very High
- xG (MEX)
- 1.98
- xG (SOU)
- 0.52
Why this prediction?
Mexico win probability: 71%
- MEX
Scoring projection
Mexico projected 2.0 goals, South Korea 0.5 goals.
- MEX
Defensive solidity
Mexico project the meaner defence (concede ~0.5/game).
- MEX
Elo rating advantage
Mexico are rated 190 Elo higher (1913 vs 1723).
- MEX
Home advantage
Playing at home adds roughly 65 Elo to Mexico.
Ratings: Mexico 1913 · South Korea 1723 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).
Most likely results
- 2–0 16%
- 1–0 15%
- 3–0 11%
- 1–1 10%
- 0–0 9%
Your questions about Mexico vs South Korea
Who is predicted to win Mexico vs South Korea?
Our model favours Mexico. The win probabilities are 71% for Mexico, 21% for a draw and 8% for South Korea.
What is the predicted score for Mexico vs South Korea?
The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 2–0, based on the expected goals for both sides.
Are these match predictions guaranteed?
No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.
More World Cup 2026 predictions
This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.