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World Cup 2026 · Matchday 2

Scotland vs Morocco Prediction

Scotland Home
02
Predicted score
Morocco Away
Scotland win Draw Morocco win
1% 11% 88%
Prediction
Morocco
Confidence
Very High
xG (SCO)
0.22
xG (MOR)
2.58
Model confidence: Very High 88%

Why this prediction?

Morocco win probability: 88%

  • MOR

    Elo rating advantage

    Morocco are rated 1048 Elo higher (853 vs 1901).

  • MOR

    Scoring projection

    Scotland projected 0.2 goals, Morocco 2.6 goals.

  • MOR

    Defensive solidity

    Morocco project the meaner defence (concede ~0.2/game).

  • EVEN

    Neutral venue

    No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.

Ratings: Scotland 853 · Morocco 1901 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).

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Scorelines

Most likely results

  • 0–2 20%
  • 0–3 17%
  • 0–1 15%
  • 0–4 11%
  • 0–0 7%
FAQ

Your questions about Scotland vs Morocco

Who is predicted to win Scotland vs Morocco?

Our model favours Morocco. The win probabilities are 1% for Scotland, 11% for a draw and 88% for Morocco.

What is the predicted score for Scotland vs Morocco?

The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 0–2, based on the expected goals for both sides.

Are these match predictions guaranteed?

No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.

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This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.