Netherlands vs Sweden Prediction
- Prediction
- Netherlands
- Confidence
- High
- xG (NED)
- 1.95
- xG (SWE)
- 0.55
Why this prediction?
Netherlands win probability: 70%
- NED
Scoring projection
Netherlands projected 1.9 goals, Sweden 0.6 goals.
- NED
Elo rating advantage
Netherlands are rated 240 Elo higher (1971 vs 1731).
- NED
Defensive solidity
Netherlands project the meaner defence (concede ~0.6/game).
- EVEN
Neutral venue
No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.
Ratings: Netherlands 1971 · Sweden 1731 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).
Most likely results
- 2–0 16%
- 1–0 15%
- 3–0 10%
- 1–1 10%
- 0–0 9%
Your questions about Netherlands vs Sweden
Who is predicted to win Netherlands vs Sweden?
Our model favours Netherlands. The win probabilities are 70% for Netherlands, 22% for a draw and 8% for Sweden.
What is the predicted score for Netherlands vs Sweden?
The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 2–0, based on the expected goals for both sides.
Are these match predictions guaranteed?
No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.
More World Cup 2026 predictions
This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.