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World Cup 2026 · Matchday 1

Brazil vs Morocco Prediction

Brazil Home
11
Predicted score
Morocco Away
Brazil win Draw Morocco win
49% 29% 22%
Prediction
Brazil
Confidence
Medium
xG (BRA)
1.54
xG (MOR)
0.96
Model confidence: Medium 49%

Why this prediction?

Brazil win probability: 49%

  • BRA

    Scoring projection

    Brazil projected 1.5 goals, Morocco 1.0 goals.

  • BRA

    Defensive solidity

    Brazil project the meaner defence (concede ~1.0/game).

  • BRA

    Elo rating advantage

    Brazil are rated 92 Elo higher (1993 vs 1901).

  • EVEN

    Neutral venue

    No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.

Ratings: Brazil 1993 · Morocco 1901 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).

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Scorelines

Most likely results

  • 1–1 14%
  • 1–0 11%
  • 0–0 10%
  • 2–0 10%
  • 2–1 9%
FAQ

Your questions about Brazil vs Morocco

Who is predicted to win Brazil vs Morocco?

Our model favours Brazil. The win probabilities are 49% for Brazil, 29% for a draw and 22% for Morocco.

What is the predicted score for Brazil vs Morocco?

The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 1–1, based on the expected goals for both sides.

Are these match predictions guaranteed?

No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.

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This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.