United States vs Paraguay Prediction
- Prediction
- Paraguay
- Confidence
- Low
- xG (UNI)
- 1.24
- xG (PAR)
- 1.26
Why this prediction?
Paraguay win probability: 35%
- UNI
Home advantage
Playing at home adds roughly 65 Elo to United States.
- EVEN
Scoring projection
United States projected 1.2 goals, Paraguay 1.3 goals.
- PAR
Elo rating advantage
Paraguay are rated 67 Elo higher (1747 vs 1814).
Ratings: United States 1747 · Paraguay 1814 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).
Most likely results
- 1–1 14%
- 0–0 10%
- 0–1 9%
- 1–0 9%
- 1–2 8%
Your questions about United States vs Paraguay
Who is predicted to win United States vs Paraguay?
Our model favours Paraguay. The win probabilities are 35% for United States, 30% for a draw and 35% for Paraguay.
What is the predicted score for United States vs Paraguay?
The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 1–1, based on the expected goals for both sides.
Are these match predictions guaranteed?
No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.
More World Cup 2026 predictions
This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.