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World Cup 2026 · Matchday 1

Canada vs Bosnia Herzegovina Prediction

Canada Home
10
Predicted score
Bosnia Herzegovina Away
Canada win Draw Bosnia Herzegovina win
63% 25% 12%
Prediction
Canada
Confidence
High
xG (CAN)
1.82
xG (BOS)
0.68
Model confidence: High 63%

Why this prediction?

Canada win probability: 63%

  • CAN

    Scoring projection

    Canada projected 1.8 goals, Bosnia Herzegovina 0.7 goals.

  • CAN

    Defensive solidity

    Canada project the meaner defence (concede ~0.7/game).

  • CAN

    Elo rating advantage

    Canada are rated 124 Elo higher (1729 vs 1605).

  • CAN

    Home advantage

    Playing at home adds roughly 65 Elo to Canada.

Ratings: Canada 1729 · Bosnia Herzegovina 1605 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).

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Scorelines

Most likely results

  • 1–0 14%
  • 2–0 14%
  • 1–1 11%
  • 0–0 10%
  • 2–1 9%
FAQ

Your questions about Canada vs Bosnia Herzegovina

Who is predicted to win Canada vs Bosnia Herzegovina?

Our model favours Canada. The win probabilities are 63% for Canada, 25% for a draw and 12% for Bosnia Herzegovina.

What is the predicted score for Canada vs Bosnia Herzegovina?

The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 1–0, based on the expected goals for both sides.

Are these match predictions guaranteed?

No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.

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This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.