Colombia vs Ghana Prediction
- Prediction
- Colombia
- Confidence
- Very High
- xG (COL)
- 2.24
- xG (GHA)
- 0.22
Why this prediction?
Colombia win probability: 84%
- COL
Elo rating advantage
Colombia are rated 432 Elo higher (2003 vs 1571).
- COL
Scoring projection
Colombia projected 2.2 goals, Ghana 0.2 goals.
- COL
Defensive solidity
Colombia project the meaner defence (concede ~0.2/game).
- EVEN
Round of 32-stage adjustment
Round of 32 matches are tighter, so expected goals are reduced to ~2.4 combined.
- EVEN
Neutral venue
No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.
Ratings: Colombia 2003 · Ghana 1571 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).
Most likely results
- 2–0 21%
- 1–0 19%
- 3–0 16%
- 0–0 9%
- 4–0 9%
Your questions about Colombia vs Ghana
Who is predicted to win Colombia vs Ghana?
Our model favours Colombia. The win probabilities are 84% for Colombia, 14% for a draw and 2% for Ghana.
What is the predicted score for Colombia vs Ghana?
The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 2–0, based on the expected goals for both sides.
Are these match predictions guaranteed?
No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.
More World Cup 2026 predictions
This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.