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World Cup 2026

Switzerland vs Algeria Prediction

Switzerland Home
10
Predicted score
Algeria Away
Switzerland win Draw Algeria win
61% 26% 13%
Prediction
Switzerland
Confidence
High
xG (SWI)
1.72
xG (ALG)
0.68
Model confidence: High 61%

Why this prediction?

Switzerland win probability: 61%

  • SWI

    Scoring projection

    Switzerland projected 1.7 goals, Algeria 0.7 goals.

  • SWI

    Elo rating advantage

    Switzerland are rated 172 Elo higher (1928 vs 1756).

  • SWI

    Defensive solidity

    Switzerland project the meaner defence (concede ~0.7/game).

  • EVEN

    Round of 32-stage adjustment

    Round of 32 matches are tighter, so expected goals are reduced to ~2.4 combined.

  • EVEN

    Neutral venue

    No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.

Ratings: Switzerland 1928 · Algeria 1756 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).

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Scorelines

Most likely results

  • 1–0 14%
  • 2–0 13%
  • 1–1 12%
  • 0–0 10%
  • 2–1 9%
FAQ

Your questions about Switzerland vs Algeria

Who is predicted to win Switzerland vs Algeria?

Our model favours Switzerland. The win probabilities are 61% for Switzerland, 26% for a draw and 13% for Algeria.

What is the predicted score for Switzerland vs Algeria?

The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 1–0, based on the expected goals for both sides.

Are these match predictions guaranteed?

No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.

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This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.