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World Cup 2026 · Matchday 3

Croatia vs Ghana Prediction

Croatia Home
20
Predicted score
Ghana Away
Croatia win Draw Ghana win
76% 19% 5%
Prediction
Croatia
Confidence
Very High
xG (CRO)
2.10
xG (GHA)
0.40
Model confidence: Very High 76%

Why this prediction?

Croatia win probability: 76%

  • CRO

    Elo rating advantage

    Croatia are rated 310 Elo higher (1881 vs 1571).

  • CRO

    Scoring projection

    Croatia projected 2.1 goals, Ghana 0.4 goals.

  • CRO

    Defensive solidity

    Croatia project the meaner defence (concede ~0.4/game).

  • EVEN

    Neutral venue

    No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.

Ratings: Croatia 1881 · Ghana 1571 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).

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Scorelines

Most likely results

  • 2–0 18%
  • 1–0 16%
  • 3–0 13%
  • 0–0 9%
  • 1–1 8%
FAQ

Your questions about Croatia vs Ghana

Who is predicted to win Croatia vs Ghana?

Our model favours Croatia. The win probabilities are 76% for Croatia, 19% for a draw and 5% for Ghana.

What is the predicted score for Croatia vs Ghana?

The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 2–0, based on the expected goals for both sides.

Are these match predictions guaranteed?

No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.

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This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.