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World Cup 2026 · Matchday 3

Colombia vs Portugal Prediction

Colombia Home
11
Predicted score
Portugal Away
Colombia win Draw Portugal win
36% 30% 34%
Prediction
Colombia
Confidence
Low
xG (COL)
1.28
xG (POR)
1.22
Model confidence: Low 36%

Why this prediction?

Colombia win probability: 36%

  • EVEN

    Closely matched

    Both sides are rated within 8 Elo (2003 vs 1995).

  • EVEN

    Scoring projection

    Colombia projected 1.3 goals, Portugal 1.2 goals.

  • EVEN

    Neutral venue

    No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.

Ratings: Colombia 2003 · Portugal 1995 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).

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Scorelines

Most likely results

  • 1–1 14%
  • 0–0 10%
  • 1–0 9%
  • 0–1 8%
  • 2–1 8%
FAQ

Your questions about Colombia vs Portugal

Who is predicted to win Colombia vs Portugal?

Our model favours Colombia. The win probabilities are 36% for Colombia, 30% for a draw and 34% for Portugal.

What is the predicted score for Colombia vs Portugal?

The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 1–1, based on the expected goals for both sides.

Are these match predictions guaranteed?

No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.

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This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.