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World Cup 2026 · Matchday 2

Norway vs Senegal Prediction

Norway Home
11
Predicted score
Senegal Away
Norway win Draw Senegal win
56% 27% 17%
Prediction
Norway
Confidence
High
xG (NOR)
1.67
xG (SEN)
0.83
Model confidence: High 56%

Why this prediction?

Norway win probability: 56%

  • NOR

    Scoring projection

    Norway projected 1.7 goals, Senegal 0.8 goals.

  • NOR

    Elo rating advantage

    Norway are rated 135 Elo higher (1951 vs 1816).

  • NOR

    Defensive solidity

    Norway project the meaner defence (concede ~0.8/game).

  • EVEN

    Neutral venue

    No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.

Ratings: Norway 1951 · Senegal 1816 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).

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Scorelines

Most likely results

  • 1–1 13%
  • 1–0 12%
  • 2–0 11%
  • 0–0 10%
  • 2–1 10%
FAQ

Your questions about Norway vs Senegal

Who is predicted to win Norway vs Senegal?

Our model favours Norway. The win probabilities are 56% for Norway, 27% for a draw and 17% for Senegal.

What is the predicted score for Norway vs Senegal?

The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 1–1, based on the expected goals for both sides.

Are these match predictions guaranteed?

No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.

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This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.