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World Cup 2026 · Matchday 2

England vs Ghana Prediction

England Home
20
Predicted score
Ghana Away
England win Draw Ghana win
86% 12% 2%
Prediction
England
Confidence
Very High
xG (ENG)
2.42
xG (GHA)
0.22
Model confidence: Very High 86%

Why this prediction?

England win probability: 86%

  • ENG

    Elo rating advantage

    England are rated 554 Elo higher (2125 vs 1571).

  • ENG

    Scoring projection

    England projected 2.4 goals, Ghana 0.2 goals.

  • ENG

    Defensive solidity

    England project the meaner defence (concede ~0.2/game).

  • EVEN

    Neutral venue

    No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.

Ratings: England 2125 · Ghana 1571 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).

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Scorelines

Most likely results

  • 2–0 21%
  • 3–0 17%
  • 1–0 17%
  • 4–0 10%
  • 0–0 8%
FAQ

Your questions about England vs Ghana

Who is predicted to win England vs Ghana?

Our model favours England. The win probabilities are 86% for England, 12% for a draw and 2% for Ghana.

What is the predicted score for England vs Ghana?

The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 2–0, based on the expected goals for both sides.

Are these match predictions guaranteed?

No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.

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This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.