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World Cup 2026 · Matchday 2

New Zealand vs Egypt Prediction

New Zealand Home
02
Predicted score
Egypt Away
New Zealand win Draw Egypt win
10% 24% 66%
Prediction
Egypt
Confidence
High
xG (NEW)
0.63
xG (EGY)
1.87
Model confidence: High 66%

Why this prediction?

Egypt win probability: 66%

  • EGY

    Scoring projection

    New Zealand projected 0.6 goals, Egypt 1.9 goals.

  • EGY

    Elo rating advantage

    Egypt are rated 208 Elo higher (1534 vs 1742).

  • EGY

    Defensive solidity

    Egypt project the meaner defence (concede ~0.6/game).

  • EVEN

    Neutral venue

    No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.

Ratings: New Zealand 1534 · Egypt 1742 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).

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Scorelines

Most likely results

  • 0–2 14%
  • 0–1 14%
  • 1–1 11%
  • 0–0 9%
  • 1–2 9%
FAQ

Your questions about New Zealand vs Egypt

Who is predicted to win New Zealand vs Egypt?

Our model favours Egypt. The win probabilities are 10% for New Zealand, 24% for a draw and 66% for Egypt.

What is the predicted score for New Zealand vs Egypt?

The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 0–2, based on the expected goals for both sides.

Are these match predictions guaranteed?

No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.

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This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.