France vs England Prediction
- Prediction
- England
- Confidence
- Low
- xG (FRA)
- 0.92
- xG (ENG)
- 1.28
Why this prediction?
England win probability: 43%
- ENG
Scoring projection
France projected 0.9 goals, England 1.3 goals.
- EVEN
Third place-stage adjustment
Third place matches are tighter, so expected goals are reduced to ~2.2 combined.
- EVEN
Neutral venue
No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.
- ENG
Defensive solidity
England project the meaner defence (concede ~0.9/game).
- ENG
Elo rating advantage
England are rated 55 Elo higher (2070 vs 2125).
Ratings: France 2070 · England 2125 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).
Most likely results
- 1–1 15%
- 0–0 13%
- 0–1 12%
- 0–2 9%
- 1–0 9%
Your questions about France vs England
Who is predicted to win France vs England?
Our model favours England. The win probabilities are 25% for France, 32% for a draw and 43% for England.
What is the predicted score for France vs England?
The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 1–1, based on the expected goals for both sides.
Are these match predictions guaranteed?
No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.
More World Cup 2026 predictions
This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.