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World Cup 2026

Brazil vs Norway Prediction

Brazil Home
11
Predicted score
Norway Away
Brazil win Draw Norway win
41% 31% 28%
Prediction
Brazil
Confidence
Low
xG (BRA)
1.28
xG (NOR)
1.02
Model confidence: Low 41%

Why this prediction?

Brazil win probability: 41%

  • BRA

    Scoring projection

    Brazil projected 1.3 goals, Norway 1.0 goals.

  • EVEN

    Round of 16-stage adjustment

    Round of 16 matches are tighter, so expected goals are reduced to ~2.3 combined.

  • EVEN

    Neutral venue

    No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.

  • BRA

    Elo rating advantage

    Brazil are rated 42 Elo higher (1993 vs 1951).

Ratings: Brazil 1993 · Norway 1951 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).

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Scorelines

Most likely results

  • 1–1 15%
  • 0–0 12%
  • 1–0 11%
  • 0–1 8%
  • 2–1 8%
FAQ

Your questions about Brazil vs Norway

Who is predicted to win Brazil vs Norway?

Our model favours Brazil. The win probabilities are 41% for Brazil, 31% for a draw and 28% for Norway.

What is the predicted score for Brazil vs Norway?

The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 1–1, based on the expected goals for both sides.

Are these match predictions guaranteed?

No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.

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This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.