Canada vs Morocco Prediction
- Prediction
- Morocco
- Confidence
- Medium
- xG (CAN)
- 0.81
- xG (MOR)
- 1.49
Why this prediction?
Morocco win probability: 52%
- MOR
Scoring projection
Canada projected 0.8 goals, Morocco 1.5 goals.
- MOR
Elo rating advantage
Morocco are rated 172 Elo higher (1729 vs 1901).
- CAN
Home advantage
Playing at home adds roughly 65 Elo to Canada.
- MOR
Defensive solidity
Morocco project the meaner defence (concede ~0.8/game).
- EVEN
Round of 16-stage adjustment
Round of 16 matches are tighter, so expected goals are reduced to ~2.3 combined.
Ratings: Canada 1729 · Morocco 1901 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).
Most likely results
- 1–1 14%
- 0–1 13%
- 0–0 12%
- 0–2 11%
- 1–2 9%
Your questions about Canada vs Morocco
Who is predicted to win Canada vs Morocco?
Our model favours Morocco. The win probabilities are 19% for Canada, 29% for a draw and 52% for Morocco.
What is the predicted score for Canada vs Morocco?
The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 1–1, based on the expected goals for both sides.
Are these match predictions guaranteed?
No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.
More World Cup 2026 predictions
This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.