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World Cup 2026 · Matchday 2

Belgium vs Iran Prediction

Belgium Home
20
Predicted score
Iran Away
Belgium win Draw Iran win
87% 11% 2%
Prediction
Belgium
Confidence
Very High
xG (BEL)
2.54
xG (IRA)
0.22
Model confidence: Very High 87%

Why this prediction?

Belgium win probability: 87%

  • BEL

    Elo rating advantage

    Belgium are rated 788 Elo higher (1947 vs 1159).

  • BEL

    Scoring projection

    Belgium projected 2.5 goals, Iran 0.2 goals.

  • BEL

    Defensive solidity

    Belgium project the meaner defence (concede ~0.2/game).

  • EVEN

    Neutral venue

    No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.

Ratings: Belgium 1947 · Iran 1159 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) / Club Elo (clubelo.com) (as of 2026-08-02).

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Scorelines

Most likely results

  • 2–0 20%
  • 3–0 17%
  • 1–0 16%
  • 4–0 11%
  • 0–0 7%
FAQ

Your questions about Belgium vs Iran

Who is predicted to win Belgium vs Iran?

Our model favours Belgium. The win probabilities are 87% for Belgium, 11% for a draw and 2% for Iran.

What is the predicted score for Belgium vs Iran?

The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 2–0, based on the expected goals for both sides.

Are these match predictions guaranteed?

No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.

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This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.