Tunisia vs Japan Prediction
- Prediction
- Japan
- Confidence
- Very High
- xG (TUN)
- 0.37
- xG (JAP)
- 2.13
Why this prediction?
Japan win probability: 78%
- JAP
Elo rating advantage
Japan are rated 326 Elo higher (1562 vs 1888).
- JAP
Scoring projection
Tunisia projected 0.4 goals, Japan 2.1 goals.
- JAP
Defensive solidity
Japan project the meaner defence (concede ~0.4/game).
- EVEN
Neutral venue
No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.
Ratings: Tunisia 1562 · Japan 1888 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).
Most likely results
- 0–2 19%
- 0–1 17%
- 0–3 13%
- 0–0 9%
- 1–1 7%
Your questions about Tunisia vs Japan
Who is predicted to win Tunisia vs Japan?
Our model favours Japan. The win probabilities are 4% for Tunisia, 18% for a draw and 78% for Japan.
What is the predicted score for Tunisia vs Japan?
The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 0–2, based on the expected goals for both sides.
Are these match predictions guaranteed?
No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.
More World Cup 2026 predictions
This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.