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World Cup 2026 · Matchday 3

Switzerland vs Canada Prediction

Switzerland Home
11
Predicted score
Canada Away
Switzerland win Draw Canada win
56% 27% 17%
Prediction
Switzerland
Confidence
High
xG (SWI)
1.67
xG (CAN)
0.83
Model confidence: High 56%

Why this prediction?

Switzerland win probability: 56%

  • SWI

    Scoring projection

    Switzerland projected 1.7 goals, Canada 0.8 goals.

  • SWI

    Elo rating advantage

    Switzerland are rated 199 Elo higher (1928 vs 1729).

  • SWI

    Defensive solidity

    Switzerland project the meaner defence (concede ~0.8/game).

  • EVEN

    Neutral venue

    No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.

Ratings: Switzerland 1928 · Canada 1729 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).

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Scorelines

Most likely results

  • 1–1 13%
  • 1–0 12%
  • 2–0 11%
  • 0–0 10%
  • 2–1 10%
FAQ

Your questions about Switzerland vs Canada

Who is predicted to win Switzerland vs Canada?

Our model favours Switzerland. The win probabilities are 56% for Switzerland, 27% for a draw and 17% for Canada.

What is the predicted score for Switzerland vs Canada?

The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 1–1, based on the expected goals for both sides.

Are these match predictions guaranteed?

No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.

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This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.