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World Cup 2026 · Matchday 3

Czechia vs Mexico Prediction

Czechia Home
02
Predicted score
Mexico Away
Czechia win Draw Mexico win
6% 19% 75%
Prediction
Mexico
Confidence
Very High
xG (CZE)
0.43
xG (MEX)
2.07
Model confidence: Very High 75%

Why this prediction?

Mexico win probability: 75%

  • MEX

    Scoring projection

    Czechia projected 0.4 goals, Mexico 2.1 goals.

  • MEX

    Elo rating advantage

    Mexico are rated 233 Elo higher (1680 vs 1913).

  • MEX

    Defensive solidity

    Mexico project the meaner defence (concede ~0.4/game).

  • EVEN

    Neutral venue

    No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.

Ratings: Czechia 1680 · Mexico 1913 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).

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Scorelines

Most likely results

  • 0–2 18%
  • 0–1 16%
  • 0–3 12%
  • 0–0 9%
  • 1–1 8%
FAQ

Your questions about Czechia vs Mexico

Who is predicted to win Czechia vs Mexico?

Our model favours Mexico. The win probabilities are 6% for Czechia, 19% for a draw and 75% for Mexico.

What is the predicted score for Czechia vs Mexico?

The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 0–2, based on the expected goals for both sides.

Are these match predictions guaranteed?

No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.

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This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.