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World Cup 2026 · Matchday 3

South Africa vs South Korea Prediction

South Africa Home
01
Predicted score
South Korea Away
South Africa win Draw South Korea win
14% 26% 60%
Prediction
South Korea
Confidence
High
xG (SOU)
0.75
xG (SOU)
1.75
Model confidence: High 60%

Why this prediction?

South Korea win probability: 60%

  • SOU

    Scoring projection

    South Africa projected 0.8 goals, South Korea 1.7 goals.

  • SOU

    Elo rating advantage

    South Korea are rated 163 Elo higher (1560 vs 1723).

  • SOU

    Defensive solidity

    South Korea project the meaner defence (concede ~0.8/game).

  • EVEN

    Neutral venue

    No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.

Ratings: South Africa 1560 · South Korea 1723 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).

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Scorelines

Most likely results

  • 0–1 13%
  • 0–2 13%
  • 1–1 12%
  • 0–0 10%
  • 1–2 9%
FAQ

Your questions about South Africa vs South Korea

Who is predicted to win South Africa vs South Korea?

Our model favours South Korea. The win probabilities are 14% for South Africa, 26% for a draw and 60% for South Korea.

What is the predicted score for South Africa vs South Korea?

The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 0–1, based on the expected goals for both sides.

Are these match predictions guaranteed?

No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.

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This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.