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World Cup 2026 · Matchday 1

Ghana vs Panama Prediction

Ghana Home
11
Predicted score
Panama Away
Ghana win Draw Panama win
23% 29% 48%
Prediction
Panama
Confidence
Medium
xG (GHA)
0.97
xG (PAN)
1.53
Model confidence: Medium 48%

Why this prediction?

Panama win probability: 48%

  • PAN

    Scoring projection

    Ghana projected 1.0 goals, Panama 1.5 goals.

  • PAN

    Defensive solidity

    Panama project the meaner defence (concede ~1.0/game).

  • PAN

    Elo rating advantage

    Panama are rated 87 Elo higher (1571 vs 1658).

  • EVEN

    Neutral venue

    No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.

Ratings: Ghana 1571 · Panama 1658 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).

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Scorelines

Most likely results

  • 1–1 14%
  • 0–1 11%
  • 0–0 10%
  • 0–2 10%
  • 1–2 9%
FAQ

Your questions about Ghana vs Panama

Who is predicted to win Ghana vs Panama?

Our model favours Panama. The win probabilities are 23% for Ghana, 29% for a draw and 48% for Panama.

What is the predicted score for Ghana vs Panama?

The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 1–1, based on the expected goals for both sides.

Are these match predictions guaranteed?

No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.

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This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.