England vs Croatia Prediction
- Prediction
- England
- Confidence
- High
- xG (ENG)
- 1.96
- xG (CRO)
- 0.54
Why this prediction?
England win probability: 70%
- ENG
Scoring projection
England projected 2.0 goals, Croatia 0.5 goals.
- ENG
Elo rating advantage
England are rated 244 Elo higher (2125 vs 1881).
- ENG
Defensive solidity
England project the meaner defence (concede ~0.5/game).
- EVEN
Neutral venue
No home advantage is applied at a neutral venue.
Ratings: England 2125 · Croatia 1881 · Source: World Football Elo (eloratings.net) (as of 2026-08-02).
Most likely results
- 2–0 16%
- 1–0 15%
- 3–0 10%
- 1–1 10%
- 0–0 9%
Your questions about England vs Croatia
Who is predicted to win England vs Croatia?
Our model favours England. The win probabilities are 70% for England, 22% for a draw and 8% for Croatia.
What is the predicted score for England vs Croatia?
The most likely scoreline for this fixture is 2–0, based on the expected goals for both sides.
Are these match predictions guaranteed?
No prediction is ever guaranteed. These figures are statistical estimates intended for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice.
More World Cup 2026 predictions
This prediction is a statistical estimate for analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 18+.